AMNT 2024
Survey

October 2024

In partnership with Schroders.

Member-nominated trustees (MNTs) form a critical component of the UK pension system, representing the interests of scheme members and influencing how their pension funds are governed and invested. The landscape of pensions continues to evolve and present new challenges and complexities.

To gain a more profound understanding of these challenges the AMNT, in conjunction with Schroders, conducted a survey involving 58 MNTs from over forty pension schemes1. This report presents an analysis of our survey findings, offering insights and suggestions for the MNT community and the broader pension industry.

Stephen Fallowell
AMNT
Graham Martin
Schroders

Key findings show improvement in Trustees confidence in reaching beneficial outcomes for members. Though buy out remains the primary end game there is a significant increase in funds moving to self- sufficiency. One of the most significant highlighted threats to Funds was Cyber attack with its harmful effect on funds and its members.

Our analysis is further enriched with insights from trustees who provided comments on their motivations, perspectives, and challenges regarding their investment and governance approaches. The report also underscores the key trends and implications that emerge from the data, as well as the opportunities for improvement and collaboration.

We hope you find the findings insightful and actionable.

Key Findings

  • A sizeable portion of pension schemes (41%) disagreed with the need for change in their investment strategy even after the gilt crisis, indicating a strong belief in the resilience of their current governance structures.
  • When considering a change in investment strategy, 36% of trustees are considering diverse approaches, reflecting the multifaceted challenges faced by pension schemes.
  • Almost half of respondents are planning for a buy-out as their endgame objective, indicating a strong preference for transferring the scheme’s liabilities to an insurer.
  • The top three hurdles to buyout are insurer capacity, current pricing and the sponsoring employer having differing views.
  • However, there is also a sizeable portion of responses (37%) are aiming for self-sufficiency.
  • Over one third of respondents view run-off as a viable option for their scheme, showing confidence in the sustainability of continuing operations and meeting obligations without seeking a buy-out.
  • 48% of respondents are open to targeting lower return objectives for longer to achieve their endgame with lower leverage on LDI, indicating strategic patience.
  • Nearly 1 in 5 respondents do not feel comfortable about the impact of any future cyber event, reflecting ongoing concerns about cybersecurity risks.
  • 45% of the pension schemes have developed governance software with future upgrades planned, indicating a proactive stance towards enhancing governance capabilities.
  • Approximately 25% of respondents express concern that advisors should have moved more quickly to adjust DC and AVC funds considering interest rate rises. This highlights the importance of timely and informed advice in navigating changing market conditions.

Investment approaches and Market Impacts

The questions in this section aimed to provide a comprehensive overview of the investment strategies and orientations of the pension schemes, as well as the impacts of market events and government policies on their investment decisions.

Post-Gilt Crisis Governance Models: A Balance between Resilience and Evolution

Our survey findings reveal a cautious approach towards altering governance models after the gilt crisis. Most schemes (57%) are not considering a change, indicating a strong belief in the resilience of their current governance structures amidst market turbulence. However, 14% of respondents expressed openness to changing their governance model, acknowledging the potential need to evolve governance practices to navigate future challenges more effectively.

A Closer Look at Investment Strategy Revisions

Among the 36% of trustees considering a change in investment strategy, reasons varied, reflecting the multifaceted challenges faced by pension schemes. These ranged from de-risking and maintaining lesser amounts of equities, a focus on Liability-Driven Investment (LDI) strategies, changes in fiduciary managers, buy-out preparations, and pursuit of specific investment return targets.

Meanwhile, those not planning changes provided insights into their current strategies, such as an income and ESG focus, confidence in endgame investments, and pre-emptive adaptation to market trends.

Mansion House Reforms: A Mixed Bag of Opinions

Trustees' responses to the Mansion House Reforms revealed a range of opinions regarding the government's desire for pension schemes to invest in UK businesses and help grow the UK economy. While some supported the reforms (18%), the majority (43%) expressed concerns including potential suboptimal outcomes for members, the role of pensions in government policies, and the risks associated with illiquid investments.

Concerns About Rising Interest Rates for DC & AVC Schemes

The prospect of rising interest rates has raised concerns among trustees, particularly in relation to the pension pots of those close to retirement who may have been lifestyle switched into bonds prior to their capital value decline.

  • 17% of trustees report that they have already adjusted their decumulation funds. This reflects a proactive approach to mitigating the impact of rising interest rates on pension pots close to retirement, demonstrating a commitment to protect member interests.
  • Approximately 25% of respondents express concern that advisors should have moved more quickly to adjust funds considering interest rate rises. This highlights the importance of timely and informed advice in navigating changing market conditions.
  • Despite the potential impact of rising interest rates, the largest group of respondents (58%) remains unconcerned about the shift away from equities closer to retirement. These trustees believe that moving into bonds was the right strategy, demonstrating confidence in their existing investment strategies.

Decision-Making Experience in Inflationary Environments: A Matter of Concern?

The evolving economic landscape, characterised by rising inflation rates, has prompted some pension schemes to reassess their investment strategies. Amidst the backdrop of rising inflation rates, the experience of trustees, advisors, and executive teams in managing investments and governance under such economic conditions could come under scrutiny.

While some express concern over the potential limitations of inexperience in such economic conditions (14%), a sizeable portion of trustees (43%) display confidence in the resilience and adaptability of their decision-making structures.

1 in 5 respondents have already made changes or are expecting to adjust their investment approach due to inflation. These adjustments reflect a proactive stance towards safeguarding assets and optimising returns in an inflationary environment:

  • Gilts and Liquidity: Some schemes have purchased gilts or are focusing on improving liquidity, indicating a strategic shift to more stable investments or assets that offer better liquidity management.
  • Increased Scrutiny and De-risking: Closer scrutiny of investment performance and a move towards de-risking strategies, including quicker moves towards buy-out or buy-in for Defined Benefit (DB) schemes, demonstrate a cautious approach to managing investment risks associated with inflation.
  • Inflation Hedging and LDI Funds: Enhancing inflation hedging of scheme assets and the creation of new pooled Liability-Driven Investment (LDI) funds specifically for customers' funds are examples of specific actions taken to mitigate the effects of inflation on investment returns and liabilities.
  • Maintaining Equity Investments: Despite a general trend towards de-risking, some schemes are maintaining their equity investments, aligning with their long-term growth objectives and capital requirements of the sponsoring employer.

A significant majority of trustees (79%) indicate no immediate plans to alter their investment strategies due to inflation. This suggests a level of confidence in the resilience of existing investment approaches or a belief that current strategies are well-equipped to handle the impacts of inflation. However, some comments suggest that strategic reviews may be on the horizon, indicating a readiness to reassess and adapt, as necessary.

Navigating the Endgame: Objectives, Challenges, and strategies

This section provides a detailed analysis of theendgame objectives and strategies of pension schemes, as well as the challengesand considerations they face in achieving their desired outcomes.

Endgame Objectives and Preferences

Trustees' responses reflect diverse endgame objectives and preferences, tailored to the unique circumstances, and needs of their pension schemes:

  • Self-Sufficiency: A sizeable portion of responses (37%) aim for self-sufficiency. These schemes are focusing on meeting their obligations independently through low-risk investments. This long-term goal represents a cautious and conservative approach, aimed at securing scheme viability without relying on external buyout options.
  • Buy-Out: Most of the respondents (48%) are planning for a buy-out. These responses are split evenly between those considering a buy-out as a near-term objective and those viewing it as a long-term goal. This indicates a strong preference for transferring the scheme's liabilities to an insurer to secure member benefits.
  • Other Strategies: A range of other objectives were also identified. These include keeping the scheme open to new members and accruals, suggesting a focus on growth and continuity. Some schemes are adopting a run-on approach, indicating a strategy of continuing to run the scheme and pay benefits as they fall due. A few schemes have already reached their endgame through a buy-out, while others are still considering their strategies.

Major Hurdles for Achieving a Buyout

Trustees identify several challenges in the path to a buy-out. The top three hurdles were insurer capacity, current pricing and the sponsoring employer having differing views. These hurdles underscore the operational and strategic complexities involved in navigating towards an endgame.

Lower Return Objectives and Run-off Viability

In terms of return objectives, about 48% of respondents are open to targeting lower return objectives for longer to achieve their endgame with lower leverage on LDI, indicating strategic patience. Conversely, 52% of respondents prefer not to target lower returns for longer, reflecting a variety of strategic preferences and considerations in reaching endgame goals.  

Over one third of respondents view run-off as a viable option for their scheme, showing confidence in the sustainability of continuing operations and meeting obligations without seeking a buy-out.

Governance Practices and Cybersecurity Preparedness

Recent press comments have brought to prominence the danger of, and consequences of, cyber-attack. Particularly referencing China but also criminal activity that has turned such attacks into an organized business.

Attacks on corporate business have been reported but usually after the company had ‘negotiated’ with the attackers a ransom to remove the offending software. Pension funds are targets given their asset base, the need to pay pensions and the storage of individual s data. Our latest survey has shown that trustees are aware of, and deeply concerned, about the potential disruption such attacks could have on the integrity of the fund. Trustees have emphasized the need for their Administrators to work openly and in collaboration with the fund.

Data protection and the potential of Cyber-attack have now reached a higher point in the risk register of Pension Funds with the need to have contingent plans in place to deal with any breach or attack.

The AMNT will promote these concerns with the Government and regulator and provide educational support to its members on this issue. This section explores the investment in governance software and the level of cybersecurity preparedness among schemes.

Investment in Governance Software

The survey data reveals a varying degree of investment in governance software among the respondents. A total of 45% have developed governance software with future upgrades planned, indicating a proactive approach towards enhancing governance capabilities. A further 19% have made a basic investment, suggesting a foundational level of technological support. However, 29% of respondents have not invested in such software, and 7% are considering it, highlighting a disparity in the adoption and perception of the utility of governance technologies across the sector.

Cybersecurity Event Awareness and Response

In terms of cybersecurity event awareness, only 6% of schemes that have experienced cyber events struggled to get a clear picture of what happened. The majority (50%) are fully aware of the details and the remaining 44% are aware to an extent. For schemes that have experienced cyber events, 61% reported full partnership with their administrators during member communications, while 39% experienced a limited level of involvement.

Nearly 1 in 5 respondents do not feel comfortable about the impact of any future cyber event, reflecting ongoing concerns about cybersecurity risks. However, the majority do feel comfortable, and many (48%) have put in place a recovery plan for any future event.

Other themes:

Beyond the main themes, the survey uncovered additional crucial considerations for MNTs in 2024:

  • Governance, Regulation, and Risk Management: The growing complexity of governance and regulatory compliance, such as the Single Code and the General Code, is a concern. The impact of government interference and financial regulators' changes on scheme operations, and the challenges of risk management within pension administration also emerged.
  • Member Engagement, Communication, and Education: The enhancement of member communications, especially about liability transfers and AVC investment, is crucial. The Pensions Dashboards initiative and comprehensive scheme information are important for member decision-making. Emphasis was also placed on member education on ESG and sustainability.
  • ESG, Sustainability, and Investment: Integrating ESG factors into investment strategies and balancing sustainability with trustee duties is important. Concerns were raised about market challenges, such as the reversal of Quantitative Easing, and the functionality of the buy-out insurance market.
  • Operational and Strategic Management: Issues include handling GMP, resource allocation, and transparent discussions with sponsoring employers. The importance of diversity, challenging established suppliers/advisers, and regular strategy reviews was also highlighted.
  • Emerging Technologies and Trends: The influence of AI, international insecurity, and the evolving landscape of mergers and government interference were noted. Staying updated with technological developments and leveraging their potential is important.